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CN2.DEVBUKYA NARESH
MARKET STRUCTUREONGOINGENTRY 06 / 08

QUESTION

How much of a multi-strategy portfolio's simulated performance is regime selection rather than strategy skill?

  1. 01

    HYPOTHESIS

    Strategy performance clusters by market regime more strongly than by strategy family — allocation across regimes matters more than strategy count.

  2. 02

    METHOD

    Decomposition of master-fund backtest results by regime classification across the 11.9M+ bar history.

  3. 03

    EVIDENCE

    Apex master-fund backtest artifacts: +570.18% net simulated ROI across 5,867 completed backtest trades.

  4. 04

    RESULT

    In progress — regime attribution analysis under construction.

  5. 05

    LIMITATION

    Regime classification itself is a modeling choice; attribution results will depend on the classifier.

  6. 06

    CONCLUSION

    Pending — the question is registered and the data exists; the attribution study is next.

EVIDENCE SOURCE

APEX QUANT ENGINE

A complete research-to-execution pipeline where every simulated result is reproducible by construction.

METHOD — BACKTEST · SIMULATION